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Submit Response is a weblog by Jack Mottram, a journalist who lives in Glasgow, Scotland. There are 1308 posts in the archives. You can subscribe to a feed. This post was made on March 27, 2003 and belongs in the politics category. The previous post was , and the next post is .

What’s Actually Happening In Iraq?

Amer­i­can forces have opened up a north­ern front in Iraq, in a pos­si­ble attempt to deflect atten­tion away from what is or isn’t hap­pen­ing in Bagh­dad, Basra and the rest of the south. What is or isn’t hap­pen­ing being a matter of some con­jec­ture, not just between for­eign cor­re­spon­dents who are asking the mil­i­tary tougher ques­tions that the likes of Fox News, but between the mil­i­tary them­selves. The U.S mil­i­tary has offered four pos­si­ble expla­na­tions for the death of 17 civil­ians in Bagh­dad: “that one of its pre­ci­sion mis­siles might have gone astray; that the attack was aimed at Iraqi anti-​aircraft mis­siles “positioned less than 300ft from homes”; that an Iraqi anti-​aircraft mis­sile hit the market; that an accurately-​aimed US mis­sile was deflected by Iraqi ground fire.” (Report from The Guardian).

How­ever, ABC Aus­tralia reports that the Pen­ta­gon, whilst con­ced­ing that maybe a surface-​to-​air mis­sile went astray and fell into the market area bombed, are more con­cerned with deflect­ing atten­tion from Amer­i­can mis­takes by blam­ing the Iraqis for the attack.

Also in the same report, Pen­ta­gon public affairs offi­cial, Vic­to­ria Clarke, on the next step in the war: “I just make one point about our gen­eral strat­egy, it is not chang­ing the strat­egy, it is not chang­ing the over­all game plan. One of the aspects of the over­all game plan and strat­egy was to be able to adapt and adjust as appro­pri­ate depend­ing on what the enemy does.” She might as well have said, “Look, we don’t know what’s hap­pen­ing. We’re just making this war up as we go along.”

Posted at 12pm on 27/03/03 by Leon McDermott to the politics category.
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  1. By the way, ABC Australia’s break­fast anchor is one Linda Mot­tram. A relation?

    Posted by Leon at 12pm on 27.03.03

  2. Dunno - I see her name a lot in Google news feeds, and have never both­ered to find out. Maybe Aus­tralia is full of Mottrams.

    As for the to and fro of ‘facts’ - it’s a good spin tactic, where you allow infor­ma­tion to drib­ble out unchecked, revise it, negate it, issue con­flict­ing state­ments, with the end result that no one can get a handle on what actu­ally hap­pens. Even the number 17 in your post is under con­stant revi­sion. The Iraqis said it was 14 ini­tially, Robert Fisk, who was on the scene pretty quickly, esti­mates 20. All these little dis­crep­an­cies work in the favour of the US, as there is no truth or fact, just a bewil­der­ing array of pos­si­bil­i­ties that are cherry-​picked by com­men­ta­tors depend­ing on their alle­giance. That said, most of the World at One today seemed to be meta-​reporting of the prob­lem of con­flict­ing reports, rather than any attempt to assess the verac­ity of those reports.

    What Vic­to­ria Clarke said strikes me as per­fectly sen­si­ble - how else do you fight a war but by react­ing to the enemy. The US are just taken aback that there is an ‘enemy.’ They seem gen­uinely to have believed that Iraq would just roll over and cheer the lib­er­at­ing troops, and now they have to take into account that there are sig­nif­i­cant num­bers of troops loyal to Saddam Hus­sein, and that the Iraqi public might not be peachy keen on swap­ping a home­grown dic­ta­tor for colo­nial overlords…

    Posted by Jack at 2pm on 27.03.03

  3. There’s a really inter­est­ing piece by Chom­sky here at ZNet —

    Posted by nicky at 2pm on 27.03.03

  4. z net

    Posted by nicky at 2pm on 27.03.03

  5. Oh, I know what Clarke said is sen­si­ble. I’m just having a cheap dig. Having said that, you’d expect them to have thought through pos­si­ble sce­nar­ios, and have plans to deal with them; in the pro­pa­ganda war, “adapt and adjust as appropriate” is a hell of a lot less cer­tain than “shock and awe,” and it’s maybe indica­tive that, behind the fug of bull­shit and non­sense trot­ted out by the Pen­ta­gon, there’s a lot less cer­tainty about the means and meth­ods of “liberating” Iraq than there was a week ago.

    As for the “facts,”it is good spin, but it’s not a long term solu­tion for them, and could easily back­fire, par­tic­u­larly if there is a lot of media focus on the prob­lems of accu­racy in count­ing the bodies.

    Posted by Leon at 2pm on 27.03.03

  6. I think it is meant as a long term solu­tion - or at least a medium term one: these mul­ti­ple ‘truths’ will be quite sticky, espe­cially on the inter­net where all the alter­na­tive ‘facts’ will linger in news­pa­per archives for­ever. Not that the truth won’t come out even­tu­ally, but the obfus­ca­tory cloud of alter­na­tive near-​truths will hang around for a long time…

    Inter­est­ing dis­tinc­tion in that Chom­sky piece between Pre­ven­tive and Pre-​emptive War… for some lighter read­ing, there’s a nice pro­file of the Chomsk from the New Yorker excerpted here.

    Posted by Jack at 4pm on 27.03.03

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